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The Last Wave or the Next?


A lot has changed since the peak of the Omicron wave in this past January. The 7-day rolling average of new COVID-19 cases peaked on January 15 at 809,470 new cases per day and bottomed out at 24,805 new case per day on on March 29. At present, cases are trending upward again at 105,198 per day on May 21.

Meanwhile, deaths from COVID-19 have continued their downward trend from a 7-day rolling average of 2,710 deaths per day on February 2 to a low of 283 per day on 5/21. Why are deaths continuing to trend downward, even as cases begin to increase?

It undoubtedly has something to do with the fact that 82.6% of the population, 5 years of age or older, have had at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine. Couple that with a the fact that according to the CDC case count, about 25% of the population has already had COVID (which must certainly be an undercount, due to ready access to home tests) and there's a lot of disease immunity already in the population. In addition, there are now effective anti-viral treatments for the disease. Add that up and it's no surprise that a lot fewer people are dying from COVID-19.


Perhaps you're asking yourself, "What does that have to do with the cost of ice and bait?" Just this: 40% of all COVID-19 deaths were diabetics. 1 in 10 Americans have diabetes and of those, 20% don't even know they are diabetic. Add to that, hypertension, obesity and smoking are associated with higher COVID-19 mortality, contributing to nearly 30% of COVID-19 deaths.


Do you know any commercial fishermen that:

  • are diabetic,

  • overweight,

  • have high blood pressure,

  • or smoke?

Let's be honest. The average age of commercial fishermen around the U.S. is increasing (if you don't believe it, google "graying of the fleet"). Other than smoking, these are all conditions associated with aging. If you tick one or more of those boxes, you need make sure to get a two-dose COVID-19 vaccination and boosters.


Despite the ongoing changes to the SARS-CoV-2 virus from the original Alpha to Delta and then Omicron, COVID-19 vaccinations are highly effective at preventing serious disease and death. And the vaccinations are likely to remain effective, even as the virus continues to evolve.


Will there be a next wave? Almost certainly. New, more transmissible subvariants of Omicron are currently being studied in South Africa and Europe. But you can reduce your chances of serious disease or death from COVID-19. Use our Vaccine Finder to locate your vaccination and Catch Fish. Not COVID.