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At the End of the Wave, What Does Risk Look Like?


At the end of the Omicron wave, fishermen may wonder if they still should get vaccinated or boosted or if their crew should get vaccinated or boosted (if they have not already). It’s hard to think about risk when the numbers seem hard to relate to.


The top of this chart from statisticians, Blastland and Spiegelhalter takes the risk of dying in a car accident and uses that as a baseline to compare other risks that we live with. The numbers from Katelyn Jetelina’s chart place risk of dying from COVID during Omicron on this list based on age and vaccination history. Use this to help calculate risk in deciding if you should get vaccinated or if you should encourage crew members to get vaccinated before your season.


Blastland and Spiegelhalter’s Chart

Activity

Unit

Chance per million of dying

Driving

250 miles

1

Motorcycle

25 miles

4

Scuba diving

1 trip

5

Active Service in Afghanistan

1 year (2011)

5,000

Heroin use

1 year

19,700

Katelyn Jetelina’s Chart

Age Group

Unvaccinated

Vaccinated

Boosted

18-49

404

90

48

50-64

4,994

1,033

516

65+

28,978

15,489

6,023


In every age group, the unvaccinated are at the greatest risk. But look at the difference in death rated for those who are vaccinated vs. those that vaccinated and boosted. Those who got the booster have reduced their chances of dying from COVID-19 by half! Now, these numbers only look at death rates, but your chances are several times higher of being kept away from fishing due to being sick or hospitalized. That can definitely have a negative effect on your business. Use our link to find a place to get vaccinated and CATCH FISH. NOT COVID.